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ASELS Defense

SELL 345.75 TL - 3.56% (daily) + 95.5% (since 2025-11-28)
📊 ASELS price chart last 234 days • closing prices • period: +95.47%
200.00300.00400.0028.1119.0215.0513.0829.10Lowest 183.40 TRY · 28.11Highest 434.00 TRY · 06.05358.50 TL
SMA20 (347.95 TL)SMA50 (366.99 TL)
ASELS closing prices (TRY) from 2025-11-28 to today. References: period-start close (dotted), SMA20/SMA50 averages, lowest/highest/latest close.

🏢 Company Profile

Aselsan (company)
Establishment: 14.11.1975Major shareholder: TSK FoundationPaid-up capital: 4,560,000,000 TL (2026/6)XU030 weight: 15.00% ( Fintables, 24.10.2026)Public offering: 25.77%CEO: Ahmet AkyolEmployee: 17,024

Land, air, sea and space applications for electrical-electronic, software and systems R&D, engineering, production and sales: communication, radar, air defense, electro-optic, unmanned systems and command control. Source: Midas company cards, 24.10.2026.

Partnership structure (direct shareholders in capital)
  • TURKISH ARMED FORCES FOUNDATION — 74.20%
Fintables partnership structure (KAP direct ownership), 24.10.2026
Fundamental analysis summary (rule-based summary — with provider notes)
  • Last quarter (2026/6): sales 88494252000 TL, net profit margin 16.3% (normal)
  • Sales growth: YoY %+24.7 (increase).
  • Net profit growth: YoY +70.6% (increase).
  • Owners' Equity Growth: YoY %+9.1 (increase)
  • Asset turnover 0.8 (TTM revenue / total assets) — efficient asset utilisation.
  • Financial liabilities / owners' equity 23.8% (moderate leverage); total liabilities (short+long) / owners' equity 78.2%.
  • Net financial debt 33824364000 TL (TradingView balance sheet section).
  • Current ratio (current assets / short-term debt) 1.5 — balanced liquidity.
  • Current ratio (TradingView balance sheet section) 1.5 — balanced liquidity.
  • Multiples: P/E 45.4 · P/B 5.5 · EV/EBITDA 30.9 · dividend yield 0.1.
  • Source: İş Yatırım quarterly financial statements + TradingView TTM (06.10.2026); comments are generated with fixed threshold rules and are not investment advice.
🌐 aselsan.com.tr (website)

📋 Announced Financial Statements· manually added financial table summary · last pull: 2026-09-23

PeriodSales Revenues (mlr TL)Net Profit (mlr TL)Profit MarginTotal Assets (mlr TL)Equity (mlr TL)Financial Debt (mlr TL)Financial Debt / Equity
2026/688.5 (+ 24.7% YoY)14.4 (+ 70.6% YoY)16.3%549.7308.573.323.8%
2026/334.3 (+ 15.0% YoY)5.5 (+ 98.8% YoY)16.2%485.0282.753.118.8%
2025/12212.5 (+ 35.1% YoY)35.2 (+ 76.8% YoY)16.6%508.2296.550.717.1%
2025/990.9 (+ 12.3% YoY)11.6 (+ 43.1% YoY)12.8%324.3187.638.220.4%
2025/671.0 (+ 47.1% YoY)8.5 (+ 72.0% YoY)11.9%290.3170.236.821.6%
2025/329.8 (+ 42.7% YoY)2.8 (+ 63.2% YoY)9.4%270.0157.732.920.9%
2024/12157.319.912.7%317.8185.042.623.0%
2024/980.98.110.0%212.3125.433.426.6%
2024/648.24.910.2%185.5113.326.923.7%
2024/320.91.78.2%163.2102.922.822.2%

Income statement items (sales revenues and net profit) are cumulative from the beginning of the year; balance sheet items are period-end balances. Source: İş Yatırım financial statements (based on KAP announcements).

🔎 Fundamental Analysis Summary · automatic

Rule-based summary: It is generated from İş Yatırım financial statements (TTM) and TradingView base data with fixed thresholds; no LLM, no hallucination risk. It is not investment advice.

Valuation and Profitability · single source, last 12 months

Last 5 trading days return: +6.0%

Market value1576.6 billion TL
Equity (2026/6)308.5 billion TL
Net profit (last 12 months)41.2 billion TL
P/E (last 12 months)38.3
P/B5.11
ROE (last 12 months)13.4%
Financial debt / equity24%

Source: İş Yatırım financial statements (KAP disclosures) — same source as the balance sheet table.

EBITDA · TradingView consolidated (TTM)
EBITDA (last 12 months)63.6 billion TRY
EBITDA margin27.2%
EV / EBITDA26.7

EBITDA margin is profitability before interest/depreciation/taxes; it should not be confused with net profit margin.

Macro Sensitivity · Defense sector

Regime: high inflation + tight monetary policy (6.27 point real interest) · moderate domestic demand

Trendnegative
Score-1
Channelsinterest rate increase

Sector sensitivity matrix x current macro regime; detail Macroeconomic Evaluation.

Technical Status

GeneralSELL
Short term (EMA 5-8-13-21)BEKLE
Medium term (EMA 34-55)SELL
Long term (EMA 89-144)BEKLE
Wave Trend (indicator)BUY
Channel position56%
Trend strength (r)-0.74
Score1

EMA sequence + Wave Trend + 60-day regression channel. Details: Technical Scan · Stock Center

📋 KAP Notifications

All notifications: KAP →

📝 Evaluations· prepared manually · last update: 23.09.2026

📈 Technical Analysis

Aselsan is trading at 380.75 TL with a 1.67% gain on September 23, 2026. While the long-term EMA and Wave Trend are in a BUY position, the short and medium-term sequence remains WAIT, keeping the chart at a 2/4 NEUTRAL level. The channel position is at 39% and the trend strength (r) is 0.38, showing a recovery trend, but an unconfirmed structure still dominates. The stock is priced 16% above its 60-day low of 329.25 TL and 10% below its peak of 421.00 TL; news of a new facility investment of 56 million USD and updated target prices from foreign institutions (up to 510 TL) are keeping interest in the stock alive.

🌍 Macroeconomic Evaluation

The defense industry stands out with its relatively independent structure from macroeconomic fluctuations: the order flow fed from the state budget and long-term contracts provide natural protection against slowing domestic demand. In a context of high geopolitical tensions, Turkey's defense exports continue to grow; the USD/TL rate at 48.83 supports Aselsan, which has a significant portion of its revenues in foreign currency. The decline in inflation to 31.5% and expectations of monetary easing indirectly support high-multiple growth stocks like ASELS by lowering the discount rate. Although the record high price of gold at 6.786 TL indicates active demand for hedging against risk, the increasing trend in public defense spending partially separates the company's outlook from the macroeconomic cycle. Key risks; possible pressure on export margins from a real appreciation of TL, supply chain costs, and sensitivity of high expectations to quarterly results.

🧾 Balance Sheet Evaluation

Aselsan had a strong period in the first half of 2026, increasing its sales by 24.7% and net profit by 70.6% year-on-year; in the second quarter, it announced sales of 54.2 billion TL (+31.7%) and net profit of 8.9 billion TL (+56.8%). The quarterly net margin of 16.4% is significantly above the 11.9% in the first half of the previous year; operating leverage and high-value-added system deliveries are pushing profitability up. The company, which generated 230.0 billion TL in sales and 41.2 billion TL in net profit over the last four quarters, has a market value of ~1.74 trillion TL, making it one of the largest on BIST. This value corresponds to ~42x P/E, ~5.6x P/B, and ~33.6x EV/EBITDA multiples; these levels above global defense thresholds and its historical average reflect the premium the market is paying for order accumulation and growth outlook. The balance sheet is solid: financial debt/equity is 23.8%, net debt is ~0.7x EBITDA; therefore, valuation risk stems from expectation intensity rather than financial leverage. ROE is 13.4%, still below inflation; profitability is expected to scale as new capacity investments come online. Competitive export potential, increasing defense budgets, and record order backlog form the core story, while current multiples have priced in a significant portion of the positive news flow. In summary, ASELS is fundamentally strong but valuation-wise demanding; new order announcements and quarterly margin performance will be the main variables determining the price direction.

This section is manually updated; for informational purposes only, not investment advice.

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