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KRDMD Metal & Mining

STRONG SELL 36.96 TL - 1.60% (daily) + 49.8% (since 2025-11-28)
📊 KRDMD price chart last 233 days • closing prices • period: +49.76%
30.0040.0028.1119.0215.0512.0829.10Lowest 25.08 TRY · 28.11Highest 47.48 TRY · 09.0937.56 TL
SMA20 (41.50 TL)SMA50 (43.67 TL)
KRDMD closing prices (TRY) from 2025-11-28 to today. References: period-start close (dotted), SMA20/SMA50 averages, lowest/highest/latest close.

🏢 Company Profile

Kardemir (D)
Establishment: 03.04.1937 (Kardemir A.Ş. 20.02.1995)Major shareholder: PublicPaid-up capital: 780,226,002 TL (2026/6)XU030 weight: 1.00% ( Fintables, 24.10.2026)Public offering: 91.75%CEO: Dr. Dursun Ali YAŞACANEmployee: 4,438

Manufacture and sale of all kinds of pig iron and steel products, coke and coke by-products (industrial steel, mine props, profiles, construction rebar); Karabük. Source: Midas company cards, 24.10.2026.

Partnership structure (direct shareholders in capital)
  • GOLDMAN SACHS INTERNATIONAL — 4.42%
  • TURKISH WEALTH FUND — 4.41%
  • ÇAĞ ÇELİK DEMİR VE ÇELİK ENDÜSTRİ ANONİM ŞİRKETİ — 3.75%
  • MERRILL LYNCH INTERNATIONAL — 3.48%
  • TÜRKİYE HAYAT VE EMEKLİLİK A.Ş. OKS KATILIM STANDART EMEKLİLİK YATIRIM FONU — 3.47%
Fintables partnership structure (KAP direct ownership), 24.10.2026
Fundamental analysis summary (rule-based summary — with provider notes)
  • Last quarter (2026/6): sales 25564895647 TL, net profit margin 16.0% (normal)
  • Sales growth: YoY %+-5.4 (contraction).
  • Net profit growth: YoY -1879.3% (contraction).
  • Owners' Equity Growth: YoY %+16.0 (increase)
  • Asset turnover 1.2 (TTM revenue / total assets) — efficient asset utilisation.
  • Financial liabilities / owners' equity 7.1% (low leverage); total liabilities (short+long) / owners' equity 42.1%.
  • Net financial debt 721191390 TL (TradingView balance sheet section).
  • Current ratio (current assets / short-term debt) 1.4 — balanced liquidity.
  • Current ratio (TradingView balance sheet section) 1.4 — balanced liquidity.
  • Multiples: P/E 11.0 · P/B 0.5 · EV/EBITDA 5.9.
  • Source: İş Yatırım quarterly financial statements + TradingView TTM (06.10.2026); comments are generated with fixed threshold rules and are not investment advice.
🌐 kardemir.com.tr (website)
Balance sheet — 2026/6 period (2026-10-30 data)
Total Assets105.4 mlr TLTotal Debt31.2 mlr TL
Current Assets32.4 billion TLEquity74.2 billion TRY
Financial Debt5.3 billion TLNet Profit4.1 mlr TL

📋 Announced Financial Statements· manually added financial table summary · last pull: 2026-09-23

PeriodSales Revenues (mlr TL)Net Profit (mlr TL)Profit MarginTotal Assets (mlr TL)Equity (mlr TL)Financial Debt (mlr TL)Financial Debt / Equity
2026/625.6 (- 5.4% YoY)4.1 (- 1.879.3% YoY)16.0%105.474.25.37.1%
2026/310.6 (- 18.0% YoY)0.0 (- 101.3% YoY)0.2%96.663.95.68.8%
2025/1253.8 (+ 6.2% YoY)-1.4 (- 50.2% YoY)%-2.5102.468.27.010.3%
2025/933.0 (- 11.8% YoY)-0.7 (- 75.8% YoY)%-2.068.143.76.615.0%
2025/627.0 (+ 20.4% YoY)-0.2 (- 86.4% YoY)%-0.964.140.66.716.6%
2025/312.9 (+ 11.9% YoY)-1.3 (+ 68.7% YoY)%-10.360.437.75.314.2%
2024/1250.6-2.7%-5.473.446.14.29.1%
2024/937.4-2.7%-7.254.433.13.19.4%
2024/622.5-1.7%-7.549.230.91.23.8%
2024/311.5-0.8%-6.847.528.81.24.3%

Income statement items (sales revenues and net profit) are cumulative from the beginning of the year; balance sheet items are period-end balances. Source: İş Yatırım financial statements (based on KAP announcements).

🔎 Fundamental Analysis Summary · automatic

Rule-based summary: It is generated from İş Yatırım financial statements (TTM) and TradingView base data with fixed thresholds; no LLM, no hallucination risk. It is not investment advice.

Valuation and Profitability · single source, last 12 months

Last 5 trading days return: -5.8%

Market value28.8 billion TL
Equity (2026/6)74.2 mlr TL
Net profit (last 12 months)3.0 mlr TL
P/E (last 12 months)9.7
P/B0.39
ROE (last 12 months)4.0%
Financial debt / equity7%

Source: İş Yatırım financial statements (KAP disclosures) — same source as the balance sheet table.

EBITDA · TradingView consolidated (TTM)
EBITDA (last 12 months)8.6 mlr TL
EBITDA margin12.2%
EV / EBITDA4.6

EBITDA margin is profitability before interest/depreciation/taxes; it should not be confused with net profit margin.

Macro Sensitivity · Metal & Mining sector

Regime: high inflation + tight monetary policy (6.27 point real interest) · moderate domestic demand

Trendnegative
Score-1
Channelsinterest rate increase, domestic demand increase, commodity decrease

Sector sensitivity matrix x current macro regime; detail Macroeconomic Evaluation.

Technical Status

GeneralSTRONG SELL
Short term (EMA 5-8-13-21)SELL
Medium term (EMA 34-55)SELL
Long term (EMA 89-144)BEKLE
Wave Trend (indicator)SELL
Channel position2%
Trend strength (r)-0.38
Score0

EMA sequence + Wave Trend + 60-day regression channel. Details: Technical Scan · Stock Center

📋 KAP Notifications

All notifications: KAP →

📝 Evaluations· prepared manually · last update: 23.09.2026

📈 Technical Analysis

Kardemir (D), rose by 3.40% on September 23, 2026, to 46.84 TL. The 4/4 STRONG BUY signal is maintained across all horizons; with a channel position of 55 and trend strength (r) of 0.77, a healthy uptrend continues. The stock tested its 60-day high of 46.98 TL during the day, attempting a new peak; it's priced 34% above the 35.02 TL support zone. With a 60-day return of 17.69%, it's among the leaders of the day's rise exceeding the metal industry index's 2.8%.

🌍 Macroeconomic Evaluation

Long-term steel demand is a primary derivative of construction and infrastructure investments: the reconstruction of earthquake zones and public infrastructure programs support Kardemir's main customer base. The decline in inflation to 31.5% and interest rate cut expectations could ease construction financing and stimulate steel demand; the metal industry index's rise exceeding 2.8% shows this expectation is being priced in. USD/TL's level at 48.83 maintains the balance between imported scrap costs and domestic pricing. The bottom formation in global steel prices and China's supply constraints support sector margins. The company's low leverage provides one of the strongest shields against macro shocks among sector players. Main risks: delay in construction demand, shocks in scrap prices, and import competition.

🧾 Balance Sheet Evaluation

Although Kardemir experienced a 5.4% decline in sales in the first half of 2026, it recorded a strong quarterly recovery in the second quarter with 15.0 billion TL in sales (+6.0%) and 4.1 billion TL in net profit (+271.3%); the high volatility in first-half profit reflects the return from last year's loss period. Quarterly net margin reached an extraordinary level of 27.2%; steel price recovery, inventory gains, and low financing costs were effective. The company, which generated 52.3 billion TL in sales and 3.0 billion TL in net profit over the last four quarters, has a market cap of only ~36 billion TL; it carries a deep asset discount with P/E ~12.3x and P/B ~0.5x. FD/EBITDA ~6.6x is at a reasonable level for a cyclical industrial company; the company has ~2.1 billion TL in net cash and operates with very low leverage of 7.1% for net debt/equity. ROE of 4.0% is still low; it could quickly rise to double digits if 2Q profitability is sustained. Its monopoly position in strategic investment goods (rails, profiles) production and capacity modernization fuels the medium-term story. In summary, Kardemir is on the radar of value-focused investors thanks to its clean balance sheet, deep asset discount, and recovery in the steel cycle; the main uncertainty is the sustainability of 2Q margins.

This section is manually updated; for informational purposes only, not investment advice.

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