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THYAO Aviation & Transportation

STRONG SELL 248.20 TL - 1.70% (daily) - 7.4% (since 2025-11-28)
📊 THYAO price chart last 234 days • closing prices • period: -7.42%
250.00300.00350.0028.1119.0215.0513.0829.10Lowest 252.50 TL · 28.10Highest 348.25 TL · 07.07252.50 TL
SMA20 (273.38 TL)SMA50 (286.12 TL)
THYAO closing prices (TL) from 2025-11-28 to today. References: period start close (dotted), SMA20/SMA50 averages, lowest/highest/last close.

🏢 Company Profile

Turkish Airlines
Establishment: 20.05.1933 (A.Ş. conversion 29.02.1956)Major shareholder: Türkiye Varlık Fonu (49.12%)Paid-up capital: 1,380,000,000 TL (2026/6)XU030 weight: 6.66% ( Fintables, 24.10.2026)Public offering: 49.09%CEO: AHMET OLMUŞTUREmployee: 65,678

Flag carrier airline; flies to more than 120 countries with a fleet of 428 aircraft, Star Alliance member. Source: Midas company cards, 24.10.2026.

Partnership structure (direct shareholders in capital)
  • TURKISH WEALTH FUND — 49.12%
Fintables partnership structure (KAP direct ownership), 24.10.2026
Fundamental analysis summary (rule-based summary — with provider notes)
  • Last quarter (2026/6): sales 585069000000 TL, net profit margin 3.2% (thin)
  • Sales growth: YoY %+43.4 (increase).
  • Net profit growth: YoY -24.7% (contraction).
  • Owners' Equity Growth: YoY %+5.4 (increase)
  • Asset turnover 1.1 (TTM revenue / total assets) — efficient asset utilisation.
  • Financial liabilities / owners' equity 89.8% (high leverage); total liabilities (short+long) / owners' equity 131.7%.
  • Net financial debt 833888000000 TL (TradingView balance sheet section).
  • Current ratio (current assets / short-term debt) 0.9 — short-term liability pressure.
  • Current ratio (TradingView balance sheet section) 0.9 — short-term liability pressure.
  • Multiples: P/E 3.6 · P/B 0.4 · EV/EBITDA 7.1.
  • Source: İş Yatırım quarterly financial statements + TradingView TTM (06.10.2026); comments are generated with fixed threshold rules and are not investment advice.
Brands & affiliates
Turkish Technic (company)AJet (company)
🌐 thy.com (website)
Balance sheet — 2026/6 period (2026-10-30 data)
Total Assets2.360.0 mlr TLTotal Debt1.341.6 mlr TL
Current Assets512.2 billion TLEquity1.018.5 bn TRY
Financial Debt914.2 billion TLNet Profit18.8 mlr TL

📋 Announced Financial Statements· manually added financial table summary · last pull: 2026-09-23

PeriodSales Revenues (mlr TL)Net Profit (mlr TL)Profit MarginTotal Assets (mlr TL)Equity (mlr TL)Financial Debt (mlr TL)Financial Debt / Equity
2026/6585.1 (+ 43.4% YoY)18.8 (- 24.7% YoY)3.2%2,360.01,018.5914.289.8%
2026/3258.0 (+ 46.0% YoY)9.9 (- 631.6% YoY)3.8%2,158.0966.4814.084.2%
2025/121,125.1 (+ 15.3% YoY)139.1 (- 6.3% YoY)12.4%2,351.31,073.1900.083.9%
2025/9690.8 (+ 25.2% YoY)81.0 (- 8.9% YoY)11.7%1,794.4844.0644.676.4%
2025/6408.0 (+ 23.6% YoY)24.9 (- 33.2% YoY)6.1%1,652.6752.1584.677.7%
2025/3176.7 (+ 20.0% YoY)-1.9 (- 126.8% YoY)%-1.01,534.9717.4537.774.9%
2024/12975.7148.415.2%1,832.0890.1641.372.0%
2024/9551.988.816.1%1,353.7618.7495.080.0%
2024/6330.137.311.3%1,233.8557.8425.676.3%
2024/3147.26.94.7%1,166.0515.5431.483.7%

Income statement items (sales revenues and net profit) are cumulative from the beginning of the year; balance sheet items are period-end balances. Source: İş Yatırım financial statements (based on KAP announcements).

🔎 Fundamental Analysis Summary · automatic

Rule-based summary: It is generated from İş Yatırım financial statements (TTM) and TradingView base data with fixed thresholds; no LLM, no hallucination risk. It is not investment advice.

Valuation and Profitability · single source, last 12 months

Last 5 trading days return: -2.5%

Market value342.5 billion TL
Equity (2026/6)1018.5 billion TL
Net profit (last 12 months)132.9 billion TL
P/E (last 12 months)2.6
P/B0.34
ROE (last 12 months)13.1%
Financial debt / equity90%

Source: İş Yatırım financial statements (KAP disclosures) — same source as the balance sheet table.

EBITDA · TradingView consolidated (TTM)
EBITDA (last 12 months)144.6 billion TL
EBITDA margin12.8%
EV / EBITDA6.7

EBITDA margin is profitability before interest/depreciation/taxes; it should not be confused with net profit margin.

Macro Sensitivity · Aviation & Transportation sector

Regime: high inflation + tight monetary policy (6.27 point real interest) · moderate domestic demand

Trendpositive
Score+1
Channelsinterest rate increase, domestic demand increase, commodity decrease

Sector sensitivity matrix x current macro regime; detail Macroeconomic Evaluation.

Technical Status

GeneralSTRONG SELL
Short term (EMA 5-8-13-21)SELL
Medium term (EMA 34-55)SELL
Long term (EMA 89-144)SELL
Wave Trend (indicator)SELL
Channel position%-9
Trend strength (r)-0.87
Score0

EMA sequence + Wave Trend + 60-day regression channel. Details: Technical Scan · Stock Center

📋 KAP Notifications

All notifications: KAP →

📝 Evaluations· prepared manually · last update: 23.09.2026

📈 Technical Analysis

Turkish Airlines, on September 23, 2026, is trading at 298.50 TL with a 0.17% increase. Medium and long-term EMA sequence is in SELL position; Wave Trend BUY, short-term WAIT — chart at 1/4 SELL level. Channel position at 95% with the upper end of the regression band; trend strength (r) -0.90 is accumulating reaction potential in the oversold zone of a strong downtrend. The stock is priced 6% above the 60-day low of 282.00 TL and 11% below the 335.00 TL peak; regaining the 300 TL psychological threshold is being monitored.

🌍 Macroeconomic Evaluation

The macro equation for THY; shaped at the intersection of jet fuel, exchange rates, and global travel demand. The moderate trend in oil prices supports fuel costs, while over 60% of revenues being in foreign currency provides natural protection from the USD/TL level at 48.83. The strong trend in tourist arrivals to Turkey and the consolidation of Istanbul's hub status are boosting traffic growth; the increase in transit passenger share improves unit revenue quality. Inflation falling to 31.5% provides predictability in domestic costs; interest rate cut expectations are the main catalyst to ease fleet financing costs. Global aircraft supply shortage increases pricing power for current fleet owners; THY is among the carriers benefiting from this supply discipline. With gold at 6.786 TL, travel demand resistance is maintained. Main risks; geopolitical developments' impact on routes and demand, fuel shock, and real appreciation of TL.

🧾 Balance Sheet Evaluation

THY increased sales by 43.4% in the first half of 2026, but net profit decreased by 24.7%; in the second quarter, it had 327.1 billion TL sales (+41.4%) and 8.9 billion TL net profit (-66.7%), remaining under pressure from high base effects and rising operational costs. The company, which generated 1.3 trillion TL sales and 132.9 billion TL net profit in the last four quarters, has a market value of ~410 billion TL; with P/E ~3.1x and P/B ~0.4x, significantly below global aviation thresholds. The reasons for this deep discount; one-off gains question profit quality, normalization in cargo revenues, and high fleet financing obligations. Financial debt/equity at 89.8% and ~908 billion TL net debt (aircraft financing weighted) is structurally required by the sector; lease obligations included, leverage is the main risk factor to monitor. ROE at 13.1% is reasonable; increasing occupancy rates and passenger revenues maintain operational strength. 2.3% dividend yield is supported by a regular distribution policy. Fleet expansion plans and new route openings are driving capacity growth. In summary, THY appears cheap on a multiple basis, but the discount closing depends on confirmation of profit quality and stable operating margins; the structural supply shortage in global aviation strengthens the company's position.

This section is manually updated; for informational purposes only, not investment advice.

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